Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Clouds and Humidity Continue to Increase Late Week through the Weekend and Into Next Week; Increased Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Late Week into the Weekend and Through the First Half of Next Week (Th/25Apr2024 Update)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 25 April 2024

… Not Available Today …

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tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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On weekends and other University holidays when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at this link.

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their website.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through this link which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Surface high pressure is east of our area and as a result, a southerly surface wind has returned which is resulting in increasing low level moisture and increased cloud cover.

(2) With fronts pulling up stationary to our north and west, there will be no air mass changes; however, passing upper air disturbances will create atmospheric lift as they pass west to east to the north of our area. Rain and thunderstorm chances return tomorrow through early into mid next week.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, around 1.25 inch of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor over the next seven day forecast period (specifically, focusing on the Friday through the weekend and first half of next week).

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High forecast confidence through mid week before falling back to medium to high confidence Friday through the weekend through the first half of next week.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 25 April 2024

TODAY (25Apr)…. Patchy morning drizzle otherwise mostly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.

FRIDAY (26Apr)…. Mostly cloudy with patchy morning sprinkles and rain showers. Breezy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 1pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 84. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 7pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 71. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY (27Apr)…. Morning low clouds with patchy light sprinkles otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Windy. Morning rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 87. Southerly wind 18 to 28 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 12 to 22 mph with higher gusts.

SUNDAY (28Apr)…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 82. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Breezy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY (29Apr)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Breezy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly after 12 noon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY (30Apr)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY (01May)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 02 May 2024 through Wednesday / 08 May 2024
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Th/25Apr)…………………………. 6:53 am / 8:05 pm
Tomorrow (Fr/26Apr)……………………. 6:52 am / 8:06 pm